Division 2 - Södra Götaland logo

Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Karlskrona Berga
Karlskrona W W W L W W
Berga W W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Berga Karlskrona 1 - 3 April 10, 2026
Karlskrona Berga 3 - 0 September 21, 2024
Berga Karlskrona 1 - 2 May 31, 2024
Karlskrona Berga 3 - 1 October 13, 2023
Berga Karlskrona 0 - 0 June 16, 2023
Berga Karlskrona 2 - 1 September 17, 2022

Karlskrona Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Lilla Torg W 1 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Torns 5 - 0 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Nosaby 5 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Hässleholms IF 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Österlen 0 - 3 Win
Jun 18, 26 Home Karlshamn 3 - 1 Win

Berga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Torns 3 - 4 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Räppe 0 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home IFK Trelleborg 3 - 1 Win
Jun 26, 26 Home Växjö Norra 3 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away IFK Trelleborg 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Torns 4 - 1 Win

Division 2 - Södra Götaland Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 16 11 3 2 38 17 +21 36
3 Berga 16 8 3 5 33 20 +13 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.27% likelihood that both Karlskrona and Berga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Karlskrona to win
This prediction indicates that Karlskrona has a 67.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.96 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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