Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus Saturday 15th August 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

Kashima Nagoya Grampus

Kashima W W L W W D

Nagoya Grampus L L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nagoya Grampus	Kashima	0 - 4	September 27, 2025
Kashima	Nagoya Grampus	1 - 0	April 25, 2025
Kashima	Nagoya Grampus	0 - 0	November 9, 2024
Nagoya Grampus	Kashima	0 - 3	February 23, 2024
Nagoya Grampus	Kashima	1 - 0	August 13, 2023
Kashima	Nagoya Grampus	2 - 0	May 14, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Vegalta Sendai	5 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Vissel Kobe	5 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	FC Tokyo	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Yokohama F. Marinos	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Consadole Sapporo	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Machida Zelvia	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Machida Zelvia	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	6 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Nagoya Grampus	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Kashima	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kashima has a 67.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.87 %

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