Kauno Žalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen Sunday 09th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Kauno Žalgiris Hegelmann Litauen

Kauno Žalgiris D W W W D D

Hegelmann Litauen W L L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hegelmann Litauen	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 1	June 14, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris	Hegelmann Litauen	5 - 0	April 11, 2026
Hegelmann Litauen	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 1	October 1, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris	Hegelmann Litauen	2 - 1	August 27, 2025
Hegelmann Litauen	Kauno Žalgiris	1 - 2	June 19, 2025
Kauno Žalgiris	Hegelmann Litauen	3 - 1	April 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	KI Klaksvik	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Šiauliai	4 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Drita	2 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Panevėžys	3 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Drita	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Džiugas Telšiai	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Šiauliai	0 - 2	Win
Jul 20, 26	Away	Suduva Marijampole	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Away	Paide	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Panevėžys	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	Banga	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	22	11	7	4	44	16	+28	40
8	Hegelmann Litauen	21	3	11	7	21	34	-13	20

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 62.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.61 %

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