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Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Kelty Hearts Dumbarton
Kelty Hearts L L W L D L
Dumbarton L W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dumbarton Kelty Hearts 3 - 3 September 23, 2025
Kelty Hearts Dumbarton 0 - 6 April 5, 2025
Dumbarton Kelty Hearts 2 - 0 December 28, 2024
Kelty Hearts Dumbarton 2 - 0 November 9, 2024
Dumbarton Kelty Hearts 2 - 2 August 31, 2024
Dumbarton Kelty Hearts 1 - 3 September 9, 2023

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Aberdeen 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Brora Rangers 3 - 2 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Queen's Park 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Queen of the South 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Dunfermline 0 - 3 Loss

Dumbarton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Stirling Albion 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Cove Rangers 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away East Kilbride 5 - 3 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Away Dunfermline 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home ST Mirren 0 - 4 Loss
Jun 30, 26 Away Ayr Utd 3 - 0 Loss

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Dumbarton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Kelty Hearts 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.36% likelihood that both Kelty Hearts and Dumbarton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kelty Hearts or Dumbarton to win
This prediction indicates that Kelty Hearts has a 38.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.46 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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