First Division
Match Analysis
Kerry
Athlone Town
Kerry
L
D
W
L
W
D
Athlone Town
L
L
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athlone Town | Kerry | 0 - 0 | May 1, 2026 |
| Kerry | Athlone Town | 0 - 1 | February 20, 2026 |
| Athlone Town | Kerry | 0 - 0 | September 22, 2025 |
| Kerry | Athlone Town | 4 - 0 | August 1, 2025 |
| Athlone Town | Kerry | 2 - 2 | June 13, 2025 |
| Kerry | Athlone Town | 3 - 0 | April 11, 2025 |
Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 26 | Away | Cobh Ramblers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Bray Wanderers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 15, 26 | Home | Wexford | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Finn Harps | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 4, 26 | Home | Cork City | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Away | Athlone Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Athlone Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 26 | Away | UCD | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Cork City | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 15, 26 | Away | Cobh Ramblers | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Treaty United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 4, 26 | Away | Longford Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Kerry | 0 - 0 | Draw |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athlone Town | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Kerry | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Kerry to win
This prediction indicates that Kerry has a 54.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.41 %Most Likely Scorelines
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