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First Division

June 26, 2026 3 days, 2 hours ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Kerry Longford Town
Kerry W W L D W L
Longford Town L W W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Longford Town Kerry 1 - 0 April 25, 2026
Kerry Longford Town 1 - 1 February 27, 2026
Kerry Longford Town 1 - 0 August 22, 2025
Longford Town Kerry 3 - 1 July 12, 2025
Kerry Longford Town 2 - 0 May 30, 2025
Longford Town Kerry 3 - 2 March 15, 2025

Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 19, 26 Away UCD 0 - 1 Win
Jun 12, 26 Home Athlone Town 1 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Bray Wanderers 2 - 2 Draw
May 15, 26 Home Wexford 2 - 1 Win
May 8, 26 Away Finn Harps 1 - 0 Loss

Longford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 19, 26 Away Bray Wanderers 5 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Cobh Ramblers 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Home Treaty United 3 - 1 Win
May 22, 26 Away Finn Harps 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Cork City 0 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Wexford 1 - 2 Win

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Longford Town 20 6 7 7 20 24 -4 25
8 Kerry 20 5 7 8 19 24 -5 22

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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