Kerry vs Treaty United Friday 28th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Aug. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Kerry Treaty United

Kerry L W W W D L

Treaty United L W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Treaty United	Kerry	2 - 1	July 3, 2026
Kerry	Treaty United	1 - 1	April 17, 2026
Treaty United	Kerry	2 - 2	March 6, 2026
Kerry	Treaty United	2 - 4	January 13, 2026
Kerry	Treaty United	1 - 1	September 26, 2025
Treaty United	Kerry	1 - 1	August 4, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Away	Cork City	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 0	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	0 - 4	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	Finn Harps	2 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Wexford	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Treaty United	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	UCD	1 - 2	Win
Jul 31, 26	Home	Longford Town	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Athlone Town	2 - 1	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Finn Harps	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Kerry	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Kerry	26	9	8	9	33	30	+3	35
8	Treaty United	26	7	8	11	26	37	-11	29

This prediction indicates that Kerry has a 44.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.85 %

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