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National League
Kidderminster Harriers logo Kidderminster Harriers
Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Hartlepool logo Hartlepool

Match Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers Hartlepool
Kidderminster Harriers D W L W D W
Hartlepool L W W W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Hartlepool Kidderminster Harriers 0 - 1 January 23, 2024
Kidderminster Harriers Hartlepool 1 - 1 November 21, 2023

Kidderminster Harriers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Aldershot Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Eastleigh 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away AFC Hornchurch 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Stourbridge 0 - 5 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Alvechurch 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Stratford Town 0 - 5 Win

Hartlepool Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Sutton Utd 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Aldershot Town 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Barrow 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Fleetwood Town 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Grimsby 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Hebburn Town 2 - 3 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Hartlepool 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6
15 Kidderminster Harriers 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4

Predictions

Kidderminster Harriers to win
This prediction indicates that Kidderminster Harriers has a 43.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.74 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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