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National League

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Wealdstone Carlisle
Wealdstone D W W W L W
Carlisle L W L W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Carlisle Wealdstone 2 - 0 January 3, 2026
Wealdstone Carlisle 0 - 1 August 23, 2025

Wealdstone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away AFC Fylde 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Slough Town 0 - 2 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Chertsey Town 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Hemel Hempstead Town 1 - 0 Win

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Worthing 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Derby County U21 0 - 3 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Salford City 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Darlington 1883 2 - 4 Win
May 3, 26 Home Boreham Wood 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Brackley Town 3 - 0 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Carlisle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Wealdstone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.3% likelihood that both Wealdstone and Carlisle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Carlisle to win
This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 52.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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