Kilmarnock vs Raith Rovers Tuesday 14th July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Kilmarnock Raith Rovers

Kilmarnock W W W W L D

Raith Rovers D W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kilmarnock	Raith Rovers	2 - 2	July 26, 2023
Raith Rovers	Kilmarnock	1 - 1	April 29, 2022
Kilmarnock	Raith Rovers	1 - 2	March 2, 2022
Kilmarnock	Raith Rovers	3 - 0	February 19, 2022
Raith Rovers	Kilmarnock	1 - 0	December 11, 2021
Kilmarnock	Raith Rovers	1 - 3	October 2, 2021

Kilmarnock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Livingston	1 - 4	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Dundee	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	ST Mirren	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	3 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Dundee	2 - 2	Draw

Raith Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	2 - 2	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Ross County	3 - 2	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	ST Johnstone	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Queen's Park	0 - 2	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Morton	3 - 2	Win

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Raith Rovers	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Kilmarnock	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that both Kilmarnock and Raith Rovers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Raith Rovers to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Raith Rovers has a 37.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.93 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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