Emperor Cup
Match Analysis
Kitakyushu
Okinawa SV
Kitakyushu
L
W
D
L
L
L
Okinawa SV
L
L
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Kitakyushu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Yokohama FC | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Tochigi SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Kagoshima United | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Biwako Shiga | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Okinawa SV Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 26 | Home | Kyoto Sanga | 1 - 6 | Loss |
| Jun 11, 25 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 25 | Home | Verspah Oita | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jan 27, 25 | Home | Nagoya Grampus | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Jan 24, 25 | Away | Urawa | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| May 26, 24 | Away | Fukuyama City | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.72% likelihood that both Kitakyushu and Okinawa SV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Kitakyushu to win
This prediction indicates that Kitakyushu has a 42.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.69 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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