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Ykkönen

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

KPV-j TPV
KPV-j L L L W L L
TPV D D L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
TPV KPV-j 0 - 0 April 11, 2026

KPV-j Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home PKKU 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home JJK 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 5, 26 Away KuPS Akatemia 4 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Inter Turku II 4 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away VJS 5 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Tampere United 0 - 6 Loss

TPV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away PKKU 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Inter Turku II 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Tampere United 0 - 3 Loss
May 23, 26 Away SalPa 4 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Home OLS 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Rops 1 - 0 Loss

Ykkönen Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 TPV 11 1 4 6 11 21 -10 7
12 KPV-j 11 1 2 8 9 41 -32 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.74% likelihood that both KPV-j and TPV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
TPV to win
This prediction indicates that TPV has a 43.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.43 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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