Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme Sunday 19th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Kuressaare Kalju Nomme

Kuressaare L L D L D W

Kalju Nomme W D D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kuressaare	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	May 17, 2026
Kalju Nomme	Kuressaare	4 - 0	March 21, 2026
Kuressaare	Kalju Nomme	0 - 1	October 25, 2025
Kalju Nomme	Kuressaare	2 - 0	August 31, 2025
Kalju Nomme	Kuressaare	4 - 0	May 18, 2025
Kuressaare	Kalju Nomme	0 - 2	April 12, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 2, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Trans Narva	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Nõmme United	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Nõmme United	1 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Tammeka	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Vaprus	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Kalju Nomme	19	10	4	5	33	16	+17	34
9	Kuressaare	18	3	2	13	15	32	-17	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kalju Nomme has a 66.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.08 %

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