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Meistriliiga

July 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare L L D L D W
Kalju Nomme W D D L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kuressaare Kalju Nomme 0 - 2 May 17, 2026
Kalju Nomme Kuressaare 4 - 0 March 21, 2026
Kuressaare Kalju Nomme 0 - 1 October 25, 2025
Kalju Nomme Kuressaare 2 - 0 August 31, 2025
Kalju Nomme Kuressaare 4 - 0 May 18, 2025
Kuressaare Kalju Nomme 0 - 2 April 12, 2025

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 2, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 0 - 3 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Away Vaprus 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Home Trans Narva 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Laagri 2 - 3 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Paide 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Nõmme United 2 - 1 Win

Kalju Nomme Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Away Nõmme United 1 - 3 Win
Jun 28, 26 Home Paide 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Home Tammeka 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Paide 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Vaprus 3 - 1 Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Kalju Nomme 19 10 4 5 33 16 +17 34
9 Kuressaare 18 3 2 13 15 32 -17 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kalju Nomme to win
This prediction indicates that Kalju Nomme has a 66.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.08 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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