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Meistriliiga

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Tammeka
Kuressaare D L W W L D
Tammeka L W W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tammeka Kuressaare 1 - 0 August 22, 2026
Tammeka Kuressaare 1 - 0 May 8, 2026
Kuressaare Tammeka 3 - 2 March 14, 2026
Tammeka Kuressaare 0 - 1 September 26, 2025
Kuressaare Tammeka 0 - 2 July 11, 2025
Kuressaare Tammeka 2 - 3 June 17, 2025

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Vaprus 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Tammeka 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 2 - 3 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Laagri 3 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Paide 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Kalju Nomme 0 - 0 Draw

Tammeka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Nõmme United 0 - 1 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Vaprus 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Laagri 2 - 1 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Tammeka 22 11 2 9 26 33 -7 35
9 Kuressaare 24 5 3 16 23 41 -18 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that both Kuressaare and Tammeka will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kuressaare or Tammeka to win
This prediction indicates that Tammeka has a 38.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.61 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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