Kuressaare vs Vaprus Saturday 29th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Meistriliiga

Kuressaare

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Vaprus

Match Analysis

Kuressaare Vaprus

Kuressaare W L D L L L

Vaprus D L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vaprus	Kuressaare	1 - 0	June 26, 2026
Kuressaare	Vaprus	0 - 1	April 21, 2026
Vaprus	Kuressaare	9 - 2	January 31, 2026
Vaprus	Kuressaare	0 - 1	October 21, 2025
Kuressaare	Vaprus	2 - 1	July 20, 2025
Vaprus	Kuressaare	2 - 1	June 1, 2025

Kuressaare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Home	Laagri	3 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Nõmme United	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Trans Narva	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Tammeka	5 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Paide	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Kuressaare	1 - 0	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Vaprus	21	10	3	8	35	33	+2	33
10	Kuressaare	22	4	3	15	20	38	-18	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.18% likelihood that both Kuressaare and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Vaprus to win

This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 53.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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