Primera A
Match Analysis
La Equidad
Atletico Nacional
La Equidad
W
W
D
D
D
D
Atletico Nacional
W
W
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Nacional | La Equidad | 7 - 1 | May 12, 2026 |
| La Equidad | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | La Equidad | 3 - 0 | March 22, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | La Equidad | 3 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| La Equidad | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 1 | February 2, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | La Equidad | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2024 |
La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Real Soacha | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 31 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 63 | 25 | +38 | 70 |
| 10 | La Equidad | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
Predictions
Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 63.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.88 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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