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Primera A

Aug. 27, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

La Equidad Deportivo Pasto
La Equidad L W W L W L
Deportivo Pasto L L L W L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Deportivo Pasto La Equidad 1 - 1 February 15, 2026
La Equidad Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 August 31, 2025
Deportivo Pasto La Equidad 2 - 1 March 15, 2025
La Equidad Deportivo Pasto 2 - 2 November 11, 2024
Deportivo Pasto La Equidad 2 - 3 April 23, 2024
La Equidad Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 October 8, 2023

La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Deportes Tolima 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Home Jaguares 1 - 0 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Internacional Palmira 1 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Home America de Cali 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Internacional Palmira 1 - 0 Win
May 12, 26 Away Atletico Nacional 7 - 1 Loss

Deportivo Pasto Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Deportivo Cali 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Away Millonarios 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Rionegro Aguilas 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Bogota FC 0 - 3 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Independiente Medellin 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Home Bogota FC 0 - 1 Loss

Primera A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Deportivo Pasto 25 10 4 11 32 37 -5 34
13 La Equidad 24 8 7 9 30 39 -9 31

Predictions

La Equidad to win
This prediction indicates that La Equidad has a 41.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.15 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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