Primera A
Match Analysis
La Equidad
Independiente Medellin
La Equidad
W
L
W
L
L
L
Independiente Medellin
W
L
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | La Equidad | 1 - 2 | February 7, 2026 |
| Independiente Medellin | La Equidad | 3 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| La Equidad | Independiente Medellin | 0 - 0 | March 9, 2025 |
| Independiente Medellin | La Equidad | 0 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| La Equidad | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 2 | March 23, 2024 |
| Independiente Medellin | La Equidad | 2 - 2 | July 15, 2023 |
La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Internacional Palmira | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Internacional Palmira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 7 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Away | Leones FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 32 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Independiente Medellin to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente Medellin has a 48.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.50 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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