La Equidad vs Internacional Palmira Wednesday 22nd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

La Equidad Internacional Palmira

La Equidad L L L W L W

Internacional Palmira D L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 12, 26	Away	Atletico Nacional	7 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Atletico Nacional	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Santa Fe	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 27, 26	Home	Chico	4 - 0	Win
Apr 20, 26	Away	Once Caldas	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 13, 26	Home	Alianza Petrolera	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 6, 25	Home	Santa Fe	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 29, 25	Away	Santa Fe	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 24	Home	Deportivo Pasto	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 24	Away	Santa Fe	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 8, 24	Home	Santa Fe	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that La Equidad has a 39.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.62 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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