MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
LA Galaxy II
Tacoma Defiance
LA Galaxy II
W
D
W
W
W
W
Tacoma Defiance
W
L
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tacoma Defiance | LA Galaxy II | 1 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
| Tacoma Defiance | LA Galaxy II | 0 - 1 | March 30, 2026 |
| Tacoma Defiance | LA Galaxy II | 4 - 6 | August 2, 2025 |
| LA Galaxy II | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| LA Galaxy II | Tacoma Defiance | 3 - 2 | March 8, 2025 |
| Tacoma Defiance | LA Galaxy II | 4 - 0 | October 21, 2024 |
LA Galaxy II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | North Texas | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Los Angeles II | 2 - 0 | Win |
Tacoma Defiance Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Swope Park Rangers | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | North Texas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Away | Real Monarchs | 2 - 4 | Win |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LA Galaxy II | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | +18 | 42 |
| 16 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 34 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.63% likelihood that both LA Galaxy II and Tacoma Defiance will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.LA Galaxy II to win
This prediction indicates that LA Galaxy II has a 59.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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