Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Laagri
Paide
Laagri
L
L
W
W
L
L
Paide
W
D
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paide | Laagri | 1 - 0 | June 17, 2026 |
| Laagri | Paide | 2 - 2 | April 22, 2026 |
| Laagri | Paide | 3 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| Paide | Laagri | 2 - 0 | August 3, 2025 |
| Paide | Laagri | 2 - 2 | May 17, 2025 |
| Laagri | Paide | 1 - 2 | April 12, 2025 |
Laagri Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Nõmme United | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Paide | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Kuressaare | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Vaprus | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Laagri | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 29 |
| 7 | Laagri | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.66% likelihood that both Laagri and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 46.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.26 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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