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Meistriliiga

July 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Laagri Paide
Laagri L L W W L L
Paide W D W W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paide Laagri 1 - 0 June 17, 2026
Laagri Paide 2 - 2 April 22, 2026
Laagri Paide 3 - 0 September 20, 2025
Paide Laagri 2 - 0 August 3, 2025
Paide Laagri 2 - 2 May 17, 2025
Laagri Paide 1 - 2 April 12, 2025

Laagri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Nõmme United 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 17, 26 Away Paide 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Kuressaare 2 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home Trans Narva 3 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Vaprus 1 - 2 Loss

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Vaprus 3 - 1 Win
Jun 28, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Kalju Nomme 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 1 Draw

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Paide 18 8 5 5 27 22 +5 29
7 Laagri 17 8 1 8 23 28 -5 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.66% likelihood that both Laagri and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 46.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.26 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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