Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
W
W
L
D
W
L
Mariehamn
W
W
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | Lahti | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| Lahti | Mariehamn | 1 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Lahti | Mariehamn | 2 - 1 | September 19, 2024 |
| Mariehamn | Lahti | 0 - 0 | August 18, 2024 |
| Lahti | Mariehamn | 3 - 0 | May 12, 2024 |
| Mariehamn | Lahti | 0 - 0 | October 8, 2023 |
Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | VPS | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | SJK | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | KuPS | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Ilves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | KuPS | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | SJK | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Ilves | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lahti | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 29 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lahti to win
This prediction indicates that Lahti has a 64.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.49 %Most Likely Scorelines
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