Lancaster City vs Tadcaster Albion Saturday 05th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Lancaster City Tadcaster Albion

Lancaster City D L W L L D

Tadcaster Albion L L L W W L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Preston North End U21	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Home	Whitby Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Home	AFC Fylde	2 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 25	Home	Barrow	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 3, 24	Away	Barnoldswick Town	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Home	Barnoldswick Town	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Guiseley AFC	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 2, 25	Away	Thornaby	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Home	Macclesfield	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Away	Boro Rangers	0 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 24	Home	Seaham Red Star	3 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 24	Home	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 3	Loss

This prediction indicates that Lancaster City has a 47.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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