Serie A
Match Analysis
Lazio
Monza
Lazio
D
W
W
D
W
W
Monza
D
L
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | Monza | 5 - 1 | February 9, 2025 |
| Monza | Lazio | 0 - 1 | November 10, 2024 |
| Monza | Lazio | 2 - 2 | May 4, 2024 |
| Lazio | Monza | 1 - 1 | September 23, 2023 |
| Monza | Lazio | 0 - 2 | April 2, 2023 |
| Lazio | Monza | 1 - 0 | November 10, 2022 |
Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Home | Juve Stabia | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Sep 27, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Udinese | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Genoa | 1 - 0 | Win |
Monza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 26 | Away | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 26, 26 | Home | Cremonese | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Lecce | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Parma | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Torino | 0 - 1 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
Predictions
Lazio to win
This prediction indicates that Lazio has a 59.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.04 %Most Likely Scorelines
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