Serie A
Match Analysis
Lecce
Bologna
Lecce
L
W
L
L
W
L
Bologna
D
L
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | Lecce | 2 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| Lecce | Bologna | 2 - 2 | September 28, 2025 |
| Lecce | Bologna | 0 - 0 | February 9, 2025 |
| Bologna | Lecce | 1 - 0 | November 2, 2024 |
| Bologna | Lecce | 4 - 0 | February 11, 2024 |
| Lecce | Bologna | 1 - 1 | December 3, 2023 |
Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | AC Milan | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Monza | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Bologna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Torino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Napoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Lazio | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Brighton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
Predictions
Bologna to win
This prediction indicates that Bologna has a 50.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.33 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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