LDU de Quito vs Libertad Sunday 12th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

LDU de Quito Libertad

LDU de Quito D D W D W W

Libertad L W L D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Libertad	LDU de Quito	2 - 1	March 8, 2026
Libertad	LDU de Quito	2 - 1	December 14, 2025
LDU de Quito	Libertad	3 - 1	November 9, 2025
Libertad	LDU de Quito	0 - 1	September 13, 2025
LDU de Quito	Libertad	1 - 1	May 20, 2025
LDU de Quito	Libertad	3 - 0	August 25, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Home	FBC Melgar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	FBC Melgar	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	Always Ready	3 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Deportivo Cuenca	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	Lanus	2 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Tecnico Universitario	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Manta FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Independiente del Valle	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Emelec	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Aucas	3 - 2	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Macara	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	LDU de Quito	15	7	3	5	16	13	+3	24
14	Libertad	16	4	5	7	16	22	-6	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that LDU de Quito has a 42.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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