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Liga Pro

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

LDU de Quito Libertad
LDU de Quito D D W D W W
Libertad L W L D W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Libertad LDU de Quito 2 - 1 March 8, 2026
Libertad LDU de Quito 2 - 1 December 14, 2025
LDU de Quito Libertad 3 - 1 November 9, 2025
Libertad LDU de Quito 0 - 1 September 13, 2025
LDU de Quito Libertad 1 - 1 May 20, 2025
LDU de Quito Libertad 3 - 0 August 25, 2024

LDU de Quito Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Home FBC Melgar 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Home FBC Melgar 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Home Always Ready 3 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Away Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Home Lanus 2 - 0 Win
May 15, 26 Home Tecnico Universitario 2 - 1 Win

Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Manta FC 2 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Independiente del Valle 2 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Emelec 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Aucas 3 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Macara 3 - 0 Loss

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 LDU de Quito 15 7 3 5 16 13 +3 24
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16 22 -6 17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
LDU de Quito to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that LDU de Quito has a 42.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.02 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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