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Ligue 1
Le Mans logo Le Mans
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Lorient logo Lorient

Match Analysis

Le Mans Lorient
Le Mans L D L D D W
Lorient L D L L W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lorient Le Mans 4 - 2 February 4, 2020
Le Mans Lorient 1 - 2 August 23, 2019

Le Mans Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Rennes 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home LE Havre 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home UNFP 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Saumur 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Angers 2 - 3 Win

Lorient Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Estac Troyes 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Nice 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away SV Elversberg 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Angers 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Home UNFP 5 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Guingamp 0 - 2 Win

Ligue 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Le Mans 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1
14 Lorient 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1

Predictions

Le Mans to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Le Mans has a 36.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Ligue 1

Nice vs Le Mans 16 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Lens vs Lorient 12 hours from now · 6:15 p.m. › LE Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 16 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›