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Primera C

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Leandro N. Alem Lugano
Leandro N. Alem D L W L D D
Lugano W W W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lugano Leandro N. Alem 2 - 2 April 25, 2026
Leandro N. Alem Lugano 0 - 0 August 24, 2025
Lugano Leandro N. Alem 0 - 2 May 11, 2025
Leandro N. Alem Lugano 2 - 0 July 6, 2024
Lugano Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 February 5, 2024
Lugano Leandro N. Alem 1 - 2 April 23, 2017

Leandro N. Alem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 27, 26 Away Sacachispas 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Canuelas 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Argentino Rosario 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Estrella Del Sur 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Home Berazategui 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 0 - 0 Draw

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Away Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Centro Español 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Sportivo Barracas 3 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Juventud Unida 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Sacachispas 0 - 1 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Lugano 22 9 8 5 27 20 +7 35
17 Leandro N. Alem 21 7 6 8 25 34 -9 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Leandro N. Alem to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Leandro N. Alem has a 38.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.76 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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