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Primera C
Leandro N. Alem logo Leandro N. Alem
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Mercedes logo Mercedes

Match Analysis

Leandro N. Alem Mercedes
Leandro N. Alem L L L L L D
Mercedes L W L L D W
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mercedes Leandro N. Alem 2 - 0 May 23, 2026
Mercedes Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 September 16, 2025
Leandro N. Alem Mercedes 1 - 2 May 31, 2025
Mercedes Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 November 20, 2024
Leandro N. Alem Mercedes 0 - 1 June 19, 2024

Leandro N. Alem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 0 - 3 Loss
Aug 25, 26 Home Juventud Unida 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Lugano 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Central Ballester 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Defensores de Cambaceres 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 27, 26 Away Sacachispas 1 - 1 Draw

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Juventud Unida 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Sacachispas 2 - 0 Win
Aug 18, 26 Away Claypole 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Argentino Rosario 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Estrella Del Sur 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Berazategui 0 - 1 Win

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Mercedes 26 9 9 8 26 19 +7 36
22 Leandro N. Alem 26 7 6 13 26 45 -19 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Mercedes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 35.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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