Serie A
Match Analysis
Lecce
Monza
Lecce
W
L
W
W
D
L
Monza
L
L
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | Lecce | 0 - 0 | February 16, 2025 |
| Lecce | Monza | 2 - 1 | December 15, 2024 |
| Lecce | Monza | 1 - 1 | April 27, 2024 |
| Monza | Lecce | 1 - 1 | September 17, 2023 |
| Monza | Lecce | 0 - 1 | May 28, 2023 |
| Lecce | Monza | 1 - 1 | September 11, 2022 |
Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Monza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Udinese | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Inter | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Avellino | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 0 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lecce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lecce to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lecce has a 38.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.65 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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