Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze Thursday 16th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze

Lech Poznan W W D W D W

Gornik Zabrze L L D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gornik Zabrze	Lech Poznan	0 - 1	February 7, 2026
Lech Poznan	Gornik Zabrze	2 - 1	August 2, 2025
Gornik Zabrze	Lech Poznan	2 - 1	December 6, 2024
Lech Poznan	Gornik Zabrze	2 - 0	July 21, 2024
Gornik Zabrze	Lech Poznan	0 - 0	March 9, 2024
Lech Poznan	Gornik Zabrze	1 - 1	September 2, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Bohemians 1905	4 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Podbrezová	3 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Wisla Plock	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Radomiak Radom	1 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Arka Gdynia	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Motor Lublin	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	FC Nordsjaelland	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Red Bull Salzburg	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	WSG Wattens	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Away	Hallescher FC	1 - 2	Win
Jun 24, 26	Home	Puszcza Niepołomice	3 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Radomiak Radom	6 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Lech Poznan has a 56.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.47 %

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