Premier League
Match Analysis
Leeds
Newcastle
Leeds
D
W
W
W
D
W
Newcastle
W
W
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Leeds | 4 - 3 | January 7, 2026 |
| Leeds | Newcastle | 0 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Leeds | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | May 13, 2023 |
| Newcastle | Leeds | 0 - 0 | December 31, 2022 |
| Leeds | Newcastle | 0 - 1 | January 22, 2022 |
| Newcastle | Leeds | 1 - 1 | September 17, 2021 |
Leeds Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Brentford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Augsburg | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | RB Leipzig | 2 - 0 | Win |
Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | West Brom | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Strasbourg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that both Leeds and Newcastle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Leeds to win
This prediction indicates that Leeds has a 46.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.99 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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