Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula Saturday 15th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Leningradets Arsenal Tula

Leningradets D L L L L L

Arsenal Tula L L W D D D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Arsenal Tula	Leningradets	0 - 0	February 7, 2025
Leningradets	Arsenal Tula	1 - 1	May 16, 2024
Arsenal Tula	Leningradets	0 - 0	July 16, 2023

Leningradets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ural	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	FC UFA	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Makhachkala	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Zenit	4 - 0	Loss
Feb 5, 26	Home	Surkhon	0 - 2	Loss

Arsenal Tula Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	Draw

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Arsenal Tula	3	1	0	2	2	7	-5	3
16	Leningradets	3	0	1	2	0	5	-5	1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Leningradets to win

This prediction indicates that Leningradets has a 45.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.00 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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