Leon vs Tapatío Friday 03rd July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Leon Tapatío

Leon W L L W W W

Tapatío W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leon	Tapatío	2 - 3	December 17, 2025

Leon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Mineros de Zacatecas	7 - 4	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Toluca	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Home	Club America	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	FC Juarez	3 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Puebla	0 - 1	Win
Apr 5, 26	Home	Atlas	2 - 0	Win

Tapatío Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 17, 25	Away	Leon	2 - 3	Win
Jul 27, 25	Away	North Texas	3 - 1	Loss
Feb 19, 25	Home	Oakland Roots	1 - 0	Win
Dec 28, 24	Away	Leones Negros UDG	3 - 0	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
985	Leon	2	1	0	1	8	6	+2	3
1629	Tapatío	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that both Leon and Tapatío will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Leon to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Leon has a 34.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.45 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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