Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
L
D
W
D
W
D
Independiente del Valle
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | Leones del Norte | 2 - 1 | April 25, 2026 |
Leones del Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Aucas | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Delfin SC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Guayaquil City FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Orense SC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Emelec | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Aucas | 0 - 3 | Win |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 58 | 22 | +36 | 61 |
| 7 | Leones del Norte | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Independiente del Valle to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 62.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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