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FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Lewes Cray Wanderers
Lewes L W L D D D
Cray Wanderers W L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Lewes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Dorking Wanderers 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Hastings United 2 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 25 Away Flackwell Heath 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 25 Home Worthing 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 3, 24 Home Harefield United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 31, 24 Away Harefield United 1 - 1 Draw

Cray Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 14, 26 Home Folkestone Invicta 3 - 1 Win
Sep 2, 25 Away Hanwell Town 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 25 Home Hanwell Town 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 2, 25 Home Maidstone Utd 2 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 25 Home Ashford United 3 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 25 Home Sittingbourne 3 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.85% likelihood that both Lewes and Cray Wanderers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Lewes to win
This prediction indicates that Lewes has a 42.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.11 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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