Lille vs Paris Saint Germain Friday 28th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Ligue 1

Lille

Aug. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Paris Saint Germain

Match Analysis

Lille Paris Saint Germain

Lille D W L W L W

Paris Saint Germain D L D L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Paris Saint Germain	Lille	3 - 0	January 16, 2026
Lille	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 1	October 5, 2025
Paris Saint Germain	Lille	4 - 1	March 1, 2025
Lille	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 3	September 1, 2024
Paris Saint Germain	Lille	3 - 1	February 10, 2024
Lille	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 1	December 17, 2023

Lille Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hamburger SV	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	OH Leuven	3 - 6	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Union St. Gilloise	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	RAAL La Louvière	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Auxerre	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Monaco	0 - 1	Win

Paris Saint Germain Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Manchester United	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	Mallorca	3 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Arsenal	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Paris FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Lens	0 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 0	Win

Ligue 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Paris Saint Germain	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Lille	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.49% likelihood that both Lille and Paris Saint Germain will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Paris Saint Germain to win

This prediction indicates that Paris Saint Germain has a 56.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.41 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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