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Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Linfield Carrick Rangers
Linfield W W L W W L
Carrick Rangers W W L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Carrick Rangers Linfield 2 - 0 March 20, 2026
Carrick Rangers Linfield 0 - 0 January 13, 2026
Linfield Carrick Rangers 3 - 1 November 29, 2025
Linfield Carrick Rangers 3 - 0 January 11, 2025
Carrick Rangers Linfield 1 - 3 November 3, 2024
Linfield Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 September 21, 2024

Linfield Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Cliftonville FC 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Glentoran 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Ballymena United 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Away Dollingstown 1 - 7 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Limavady United 0 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Doncaster 0 - 2 Loss

Carrick Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Limavady United 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Portadown 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Ballyclare Comrades 1 - 8 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Ards 1 - 0 Win
Jul 24, 26 Home Ballymena United 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Queen's University 3 - 5 Loss

Premiership Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Carrick Rangers 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
8 Linfield 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3

Predictions

Linfield to win
This prediction indicates that Linfield has a 47.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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