Championship
Match Analysis
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Livingston
W
L
L
W
L
W
Ayr Utd
W
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | Ayr Utd | 5 - 0 | April 18, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Livingston | 1 - 2 | February 22, 2025 |
| Livingston | Ayr Utd | 0 - 1 | December 21, 2024 |
| Ayr Utd | Livingston | 1 - 2 | October 19, 2024 |
| Livingston | Ayr Utd | 2 - 0 | August 19, 2023 |
| Livingston | Ayr Utd | 4 - 0 | November 28, 2020 |
Livingston Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Morton | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Stenhousemuir | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Arbroath | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Dunfermline | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Partick | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Queen's Park | 2 - 0 | Win |
Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Queen's Park | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Inverness CT | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Partick | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Morton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Raith Rovers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Kilmarnock | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Ayr Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.54% likelihood that both Livingston and Ayr Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Livingston to win
This prediction indicates that Livingston has a 58.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.80 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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