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Championship
Morton logo Morton
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Dunfermline logo Dunfermline

Match Analysis

Morton Dunfermline
Morton D L L L L L
Dunfermline W L L D D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dunfermline Morton 3 - 1 April 4, 2026
Morton Dunfermline 2 - 0 February 17, 2026
Dunfermline Morton 1 - 0 November 22, 2025
Morton Dunfermline 0 - 0 August 2, 2025
Morton Dunfermline 2 - 0 May 2, 2025
Dunfermline Morton 2 - 1 March 1, 2025

Morton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Arbroath 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Partick 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Inverness CT 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away ST Johnstone 3 - 0 Loss

Dunfermline Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Livingston 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Ross County 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Inverness CT 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away ST Mirren 0 - 1 Win

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Dunfermline 4 1 2 1 2 3 -1 5
9 Morton 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Dunfermline to win
This prediction indicates that Dunfermline has a 53.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.61 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Championship

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Partick vs Ayr Utd 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Queen's Park vs Morton 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Arbroath vs Dunfermline 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›