Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse Sunday 16th August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Dunav Ruse

Lokomotiv Plovdiv W L W W D W

Dunav Ruse L L D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dunav Ruse	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 3	December 9, 2019
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Dunav Ruse	3 - 1	August 19, 2019
Dunav Ruse	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	April 19, 2019
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Dunav Ruse	1 - 1	March 29, 2019
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Dunav Ruse	4 - 1	March 9, 2019
Dunav Ruse	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 0	October 21, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Septemvri Sofia	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Rilski Sportist	0 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ludogorets	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Home	Ludogorets	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Levski Sofia	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Spartak Varna	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
14	Dunav Ruse	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a 62.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.45 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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