Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia Sunday 26th July 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Septemvri Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv W W D W L L

Septemvri Sofia W W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Septemvri Sofia	1 - 0	March 13, 2026
Septemvri Sofia	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 2	October 3, 2025
Septemvri Sofia	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 0	April 28, 2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Septemvri Sofia	0 - 1	February 16, 2025
Septemvri Sofia	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2 - 3	August 26, 2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Septemvri Sofia	2 - 1	April 7, 2023

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Rilski Sportist	0 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ludogorets	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	4 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	2 - 0	Loss

Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Hebar 1918	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Slavia Sofia	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Vihren	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Marek	3 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Yantra 2019	2 - 1	Win

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Septemvri Sofia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win

This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a 57.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.73 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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