First Division
Match Analysis
Longford Town
Kerry
Longford Town
L
W
W
L
W
W
Kerry
D
L
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry | Longford Town | 2 - 1 | June 26, 2026 |
| Longford Town | Kerry | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Kerry | Longford Town | 1 - 1 | February 27, 2026 |
| Kerry | Longford Town | 1 - 0 | August 22, 2025 |
| Longford Town | Kerry | 3 - 1 | July 12, 2025 |
| Kerry | Longford Town | 2 - 0 | May 30, 2025 |
Longford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Athlone Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Finn Harps | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Treaty United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Wexford | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Cork City | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | UCD | 2 - 1 | Win |
Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | UCD | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cork City | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Cobh Ramblers | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Bray Wanderers | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Finn Harps | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Wexford | 2 - 2 | Draw |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Longford Town | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 34 | +1 | 37 |
| 6 | Kerry | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 33 | +1 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.48% likelihood that both Longford Town and Kerry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Longford Town or Kerry to win
This prediction indicates that Longford Town has a 41.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.22 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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