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Major League Soccer

July 23, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy L D W L W D
St. Louis City W D W W L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City 3 - 0 February 11, 2026
St. Louis City Los Angeles Galaxy 3 - 3 June 14, 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City 0 - 3 March 9, 2025
St. Louis City Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 September 1, 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy St. Louis City 3 - 3 March 17, 2024
St. Louis City Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 February 3, 2024

Los Angeles Galaxy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Home El Salvador 0 - 3 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Seattle Sounders 0 - 2 Win
May 14, 26 Away Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 1 Draw

St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Austin 3 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away DC United 1 - 1 Draw
May 14, 26 Home Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Colorado Rapids 0 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Austin 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 3 Loss

Major League Soccer Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
15 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 22 22 0 20
22 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 16 20 -4 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.26% likelihood that both Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Los Angeles Galaxy to win
This prediction indicates that Los Angeles Galaxy has a 47.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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