FA Cup
Match Analysis
Lower Breck
Thornaby
Lower Breck
L
L
L
W
L
W
Thornaby
L
W
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Lower Breck Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 25 | Away | Hallam | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 25 | Home | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 24 | Away | Hallam | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 24 | Away | Alsager Town | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 23, 23 | Home | AFC Emley | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 23 | Away | AFC Liverpool | 0 - 5 | Win |
Thornaby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 25 | Home | Dunston UTS | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 25 | Home | Tadcaster Albion | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 25 | Home | Hebburn Town | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 22 | Home | Kendal Town | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 22 | Home | Spennymoor Town | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 21 | Away | Newton Aycliffe | 4 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.27% likelihood that both Lower Breck and Thornaby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Lower Breck to win
This prediction indicates that Lower Breck has a 48.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.15 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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