Primera C
Match Analysis
Lugano
Argentino Rosario
Lugano
D
W
D
W
L
D
Argentino Rosario
L
D
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Rosario | Lugano | 2 - 1 | June 6, 2026 |
| Argentino Rosario | Lugano | 0 - 1 | August 13, 2024 |
| Lugano | Argentino Rosario | 0 - 2 | March 22, 2024 |
| Lugano | Argentino Rosario | 1 - 2 | October 2, 2023 |
| Argentino Rosario | Lugano | 4 - 2 | June 24, 2023 |
| Argentino Rosario | Lugano | 3 - 0 | April 7, 2023 |
Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Puerto Nuevo | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Berazategui | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Leandro N. Alem | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Lujan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Victoriano Arenas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Argentino Rosario Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Central Cordoba | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Victoriano Arenas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Centro Español | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | JJ Urquiza | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atletico Atlas | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Mercedes | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lugano | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 44 |
| 27 | Argentino Rosario | 28 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lugano to win
This prediction indicates that Lugano has a 47.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.08 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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