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Primera C
Lugano logo Lugano
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Estrella Del Sur logo Estrella Del Sur

Match Analysis

Lugano Estrella Del Sur
Lugano D W L D W W
Estrella Del Sur D L W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Estrella Del Sur Lugano 3 - 2 May 23, 2026

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Home Berazategui 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Lujan 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Centro Español 1 - 0 Win

Estrella Del Sur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 24, 26 Away Centro Español 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Canuelas 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 1 - 0 Win
Aug 4, 26 Home Lujan 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Mercedes 1 - 1 Draw

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Lugano 26 10 10 6 30 23 +7 40
8 Estrella Del Sur 26 10 9 7 27 24 +3 39

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lugano to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Lugano has a 38.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.83 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera C

Victoriano Arenas vs Argentino Rosario 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Centro Español vs Sacachispas 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres 4 hours ago · 1 a.m. › Canuelas vs Lujan 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›