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Primera C
Lugano logo Lugano
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Berazategui logo Berazategui

Match Analysis

Lugano Berazategui
Lugano D W W W D D
Berazategui L W D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Berazategui Lugano 2 - 0 May 3, 2026
Berazategui Lugano 3 - 0 July 20, 2025
Lugano Berazategui 2 - 0 April 5, 2025
Lugano Berazategui 1 - 3 September 11, 2024
Berazategui Lugano 2 - 2 April 10, 2024

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Victoriano Arenas 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away Defensores de Cambaceres 1 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Centro Español 1 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Sportivo Barracas 3 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Juventud Unida 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home JJ Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw

Berazategui Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Centro Español 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Home Central Cordoba 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away JJ Urquiza 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Mercedes 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Deportivo Paraguayo 0 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Puerto Nuevo 0 - 2 Loss

Primera C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Berazategui 23 9 9 5 24 16 +8 36
6 Lugano 23 9 9 5 27 20 +7 36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Berazategui to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Berazategui has a 35.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.96 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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