Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas Saturday 18th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Lugano Sportivo Barracas

Lugano W W L D L D

Sportivo Barracas W W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sportivo Barracas	Lugano	3 - 0	April 8, 2026
Sportivo Barracas	Lugano	2 - 1	September 16, 2024
Lugano	Sportivo Barracas	0 - 0	April 14, 2024
Sportivo Barracas	Lugano	3 - 2	October 30, 2023
Lugano	Sportivo Barracas	0 - 0	July 16, 2023
Sportivo Barracas	Lugano	1 - 3	May 28, 2023

Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sacachispas	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Mercedes	1 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Argentino Rosario	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Estrella Del Sur	3 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Leones de Rosario	2 - 2	Draw

Sportivo Barracas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 29, 26	Home	Lujan	2 - 0	Win
Jun 15, 26	Home	General Lamadrid	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Leones de Rosario	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Home	Atletico Atlas	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Canuelas	3 - 1	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Defensores de Cambaceres	2 - 0	Win

Primera C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Sportivo Barracas	17	7	4	6	17	13	+4	25
11	Lugano	17	6	6	5	21	17	+4	24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Score 0 - 0

This prediction indicates that Lugano will score 0 goals, and Sportivo Barracas will score 0 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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