Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese Saturday 26th September 2026 03:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Lumezzane Folgore Caratese

Lumezzane L W L D L D

Folgore Caratese L D L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Away	Cittadella	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Giana Erminio	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Ospitaletto	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Cremonese	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Away	Cittadella	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Alcione	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 7, 26	Away	PRO Vercelli	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Novara	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 24, 26	Home	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Arezzo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 22	Home	Renate	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Lumezzane	3	1	0	2	2	4	-2	3
14	Folgore Caratese	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Lumezzane has a 43.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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